Argentine recovery will lag LatAm peers : Roubini

Posted by Peter Medved on Nov 25th, 2009 and filed under Economy. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry

Line Break

Author: Peter Medved (38 Articles)

Peter works in the telecoms sector mostly on 3G networks for mobile operators. Interests cover Emerging Market economies, telecoms, tech & finance.

buenos ariesArgentina’s economy will lag other countries in the region, expanding between 2% & 2.5% next year and recovery will be “much slower” in the post 2008 crisis than in previous years when the country enjoyed  growth rates of 6% to 7%, according to economist Nouriel Roubini.

Speaking in a teleconference with Buenos Aires, Roubini said Latinamerica’s third largest economy still faces challenges as it weathers the global crisis eight years after its sharp 2001/02 economic meltdown & strongly suggested it should work to normalize relations with creditors such as the Paris Club.

Argentina should also “resolve its confrontation with the International Monetary Fund and accept an economic review by the IMF” he added. Argentina is working to reach a deal with investors who rejected a 2005 restructuring of defaulted debt to clear the way to issue new bonds

Roubini said Argentina’s recovery would be slower because of the tight controls on capital flows & the requirement for more rational fiscal and monetary policies.

“Although economic growth needs a strong fiscal showing, its conditions should be sufficiently under control as to recover the confidence of domestic & foreign investors”, said Roubini. He called for an “efficient control” of capital flows so as to avoid asset bubbles which could lead to spiralling inflation, “already too high”.

To achieve sustained growth, Argentina must increase investments in infrastructure and also taxes, so it can begin lowering the budget stimuli fed out through monetary policy and fiscal aid to several sectors.

Another issue is increasing domestic demand for export produce, granting the economy greater autonomy from the swings of the global economy.

Finally he insisted in greater transparency for the financial system and restabilising links with international multilateral credit organizations, “which will be essential in helping combat inflation and asset bubbles”.

Overall investors should be cautious taking into account that “we are just coming out of global recession, but its effects will be long lasting in the world economy both medium and long term, he concluded.

Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
Line Break

Author: Peter Medved (38 Articles)

Peter works in the telecoms sector mostly on 3G networks for mobile operators. Interests cover Emerging Market economies, telecoms, tech & finance.

blog comments powered by Disqus
Advertisement
Log in / Advanced NewsPaper by Gabfire Themes